IPSOS SA
Rating Action and Rationale
- EthiFinance Ratings affirms the rating of Ipsos SA at “BBB+” maintaining the Stable outlook.
- This rating is mainly supported by (i) an excellent financial risk profile underpinned by a sustained gross debt reduction over the past 3 years to reach a NFD/EBITDA ratio of 0.5x in 2022 (from 3x in 2019), an EBITDA/interest ratio above 15x, and equity/TFD>250%; (ii) a positive ESG score; and (iii) good competitive positioning in term of market share (3%), client concentration and geographical diversification.
- However, the rating is constrained by (i) the small size of the company; and (ii) the fact that Ipsos operates in a sector of commercial and professional services that is characterized by low barriers to entry (no stringent regulatory requirements or significant investment needed to set up a services company).
- The new financial objectives outlined by the company for 2025 favor acquisitions, capex, and shareholder remuneration over debt holders. We do not expect a material change in the financial risk profile in the coming years based on solid cash generation to fund the spending. We do not expect material changes in the company’s competitive positioning either. For these reasons, we maintain our Stable outlook.
- Regarding ESG assessment, the impact is neutral on the industry rating. The ESG score of Ipsos is a range of [0.5 -1]/5, which has a positive effect on the financial risk profile of half a notch.
Issuer Description
Founded in 1975, Ipsos is a global company specializing in survey-based research for companies and institutions. Ipsos operates in 89 countries and is currently among the 7 largest companies in this segment. For FY22, Ipsos reported a consolidated turnover of €2.4m (+12% YoY) with consolidated EBITDA of €399m (EBITDA margin of 16.6%). The NFD/EBITDA ratio stood at 0.5x at year-end. Ipsos is listed on Euronext Paris as SBF 120. Its market capitalization amounted to €1.97bn as of October 27th, 2023.
Main Financial Figures
Credit Rating
Rating Sensitivity
- Long-term rating Positive factors (↑)
A rating upgrade could be considered in the event of (i) turnover rising above €5bn, (ii) launch of new services to increase diversification; (iii) EBITDA/interest ratio>25x; and/or (iv) NFD/EBITDA ratio below 1x on a sustainable basis.
- Long-term rating Negative factors (↓)
A rating downgrade could be considered in the event of (i) additional indebtedness to reach an equity/debt ratio <250%, (ii) an NFD/EBITDA ratio above 2x; and/or (iii) an EBITDA/interest ratio<15x.
Regulatory Information
3 November 2023
LEI: 9695002OY2X35E9X8W87
Revision of the long-term corporate rating
Rating initiation: 29 November 2022
Last rating action: 29 November 2022
Rating nature: Unsolicited (this report is paid by investors, not the issuer)
With rated entity or related third party participation: No, the report was published without having been reviewed by the issuer.
With access to internal documents: No
With access to management: No
Ancillary services sold to the rated entity: In accordance with Article 6 (2), in conjunction with Annex I, section B (4) of the Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 September 2009, it is reported that during the last 12 months Ethifinance Ratings has not provided ancillary services to the rated entity or its related third parties.
Name of the rating committee chair: Antonio Madera, Senior Director
Material sources used to support the rating decision:
• Annual reports, 2020, 2021, 2022
• Semestrial results presentation and press releases, 2022, 2023
Limitation of the Rating action:
EthiFinance Ratings believes the quality and quantity of information available on the rated entity is sufficient to provide a rating.
EthiFinance Ratings has no obligation to audit or verify the accuracy of data provided.
Principal methodology used in this research available at:
https://files.qivalio.net/documents/methodologies/CRA_190_V3_Corporate%20Methodology_2023-10-06.pdf
ETHIFINANCE RATINGS S.L.
18 Calle Velazquez
CP 28001 Madrid (SPAIN)